Surprise Envoy Pushing Ukraine Ceasefire Plan Highlights Vance Influence on US Foreign Policy
The US Army Secretary, Daniel Driscoll, was an surprising diplomat for the Trump administration latest initiative to end the conflict in Ukraine. Driscoll's strong connection with JD Vance has positioned a key ally of the Euroskeptic vice-president at the forefront of President Trump's latest push to conclude the war.
Before his last week's trip to Kyiv, Driscoll was unrecognized as a negotiator or statesman, and his early attempts to promote the agreement to European policymakers were described as chaotic.
Driscoll's strong relationship with Vance, who he studied and maintains a close friendship, indicate the rising influence of the isolationist vice-president in negotiations to resolve the Ukraine war.
The VP's Involvement in Peace Negotiations
This was Vance who stepped in during Ukraine's president's rocky first trip to the White House in March and insisted he show Trump more respect. Currently, Ukraine is again pushing back against pressure from the US to accept a quick deal that Ukrainian leaders have called a surrender.
After a chaotic first year in power, international actions in the White House are said to be shaped by a handful of Trump's top advisers, such as chief of staff Susie Wiles, rightwing advisor Stephen Miller, diplomat Steve Witkoff, secretary of state Marco Rubio, and finally Vance.
Vance has been a vocal advocate of the recent plan, which was developed by Witkoff and Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner, alongside the Russian diplomat Kirill Dmitriev.
“All objection of the peace framework the White House is working on either misunderstands the framework or misstates some critical situation on the ground,” the VP wrote.
Initial Attempts and EU Responses
Vance's early efforts at negotiating a peace deal with Russia, while also seeking to renew ties with Moscow, were fruitless and left his team feeling disappointed with their Russian counterparts. Leaders in Europe, in turn, were angered by his initial remarks, in which he accused them of running from their constituents, who Vance claimed held anti-immigration and right-leaning views similar to those of Trump's own constituency.
However, the recently published ceasefire proposal closely resembled his positions, and he has been one of the most forceful advocates for the agreement in the administration, even as the US has been criticized for accepting a ceasefire plan that largely resembles Vladimir Putin's maximalist terms.
In posts this weekend, Vance asserted that a ceasefire agreement would have to establish a ceasefire that honored Ukrainian sovereignty, be agreeable to both sides, and prevent the war from resuming.
“Peace won’t be made by unsuccessful diplomats or politicians residing in a dream world,” he continued. “An agreement could be made by smart people operating in the real world.”
Additionally, it was Vance who followed up on the introduction of the ceasefire proposal in a phone call with Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Trump had primarily instructed his staff with securing a agreement on the peace deal prior to Thanksgiving this Thursday in the United States.
Rubio's Reaction and Internal Doubts
Vance's stance was a distinctly more enthusiastic endorsement of the proposal than that given by the top diplomat and national security adviser, Marco Rubio, a more conventional hardliner in the government who has transitioned from a uncertain position inside the administration to more stable standing.
Rubio was part of a US delegation that went to Geneva this weekend to meet with Ukrainian leaders to help refine the initial 28-point peace plan in order to make it more acceptable to leaders in Kyiv.
However, his initial reaction to the deal was lukewarm:
“Ending a complex and deadly war such as the one in Ukraine requires an extensive exchange of substantive and realistic proposals,” Rubio wrote over the weekend. “And, achieving a durable ceasefire will require each party to agree to challenging but essential compromises. This is the reason we are and will continue to create a list of possible solutions for ending this war based on feedback from both sides of this war.”
In private, he was said to be much more skeptical of the plan. The Republican senator Mike Rounds stated last week at the Halifax International Security Forum in Nova Scotia that Rubio had contacted legislators to clarify that the deal was just a preliminary proposal from the Russians and not an plan pushed by the White House.
“Rubio made a call to us this day and I think he emphasized to us that we are the recipients of a offer that was presented to one of our representatives,” said Rounds. “It is not our recommendation, it is not our peace plan.”
Rubio moved quickly to align himself. “This ceasefire plan was written by the US,” he later stated. “It is presented as a strong structure for continuing discussions. It is based on input from the Moscow. However, it is additionally based on previous and current contributions from Ukraine.”